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On the Semantics and Metaphysics of “Expected”

Lajos Brons
Sado, Niigata, Japan

The expression ⌜expected x⌝ and other phrases in which “expected” appears to function like an adjective are potentially misleading. Except if x is real and in the past, “expected” is not a predicate, but an operator similar to the doxastic belief operator and an expected x is not an x. Instead, a phrase involving some ⌜expected x⌝ (typically) specifies an expectation about x, and expectations imply agents having those expectations. This analysis matters for moral philosophy, in which expected consequences — which, by implication, are not (a kind of) consequences — play an important role.

Keywords: expectations, doxastic logic, philosophy of language, metaphysics, consequentialism, expected consequences.

Received: January 24, 2026; Revised: September 1, 2026; Accepted: September 1, 2026; Prepublished online: September 1, 2026 

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